Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 28

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Renate		Piacenza

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	3.5	Watch
	1.89	2.95	4.1
	2.1	2.62	3.58
	2.15	2.7	3.7
	2.09	2.81	3.96	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.81)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)	3.72 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
43.5%

Draw
32.3%

Piacenza
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

31.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

30%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renate's form might have worsened.

Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piacenza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piacenza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Renate - Piacenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Renate won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Renate will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Renate won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Renate won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
11.02.23	Vicenza Virtus - Renate	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Renate - Trento	0:2 ✺
01.02.23	Pordenone - Renate	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Renate - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Juventus U23 - Renate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT
- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
11.02.23	Piacenza - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Juventus U23 - Piacenza	2:0 ✺
01.02.23	Piacenza - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	AlbinoLeffe - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Piacenza - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.22	Piacenza - Renate	2:3
16.03.22	Renate - Piacenza	0:3
07.11.21	Piacenza - Renate	3:1
28.02.21	Renate - Piacenza	1:1
01.11.20	Piacenza - Renate	3:3
22.01.17	Piacenza - Renate	0:0
11.09.16	Renate - Piacenza	1:1

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