Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 23

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)


	Piacenza		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.87	2.8
	2.45	2.95	2.75
	2.39	2.8	2.8
	2.26	2.87	2.88
	2.45	2.8	2.9
	2.38	3.02	2.94	Watch
	2.42	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.75)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)	2.85 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
37.5%

Draw
31%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

33.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piacenza's performance.

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piacenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union ArzignanoChiampo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Piacenza - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Piacenza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). ArzignanoChiampo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Piacenza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches ArzignanoChiampo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ArzignanoChiampo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Piacenza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
14.01.23	FeralpiSalò - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Virtus Verona - Piacenza	1:2 ✺
23.12.22	Piacenza - Pergolettese	3:1 ✺
17.12.22	Vicenza Virtus - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Piacenza - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWWTL
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
14.01.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Sesto	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
23.12.22	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:0 ✺
11.12.22	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.22	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Piacenza	3:0
Italian Serie C Group B
23.01.20	Piacenza - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0
25.08.19	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Piacenza	0:0

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