Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Renate		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.8
	1.97	3.17	4.16
	2.03	3.32	3.52	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.84	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
46.5%

Draw
28.9%

Virtus Verona
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Renate - Virtus Verona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 72. Mastromonaco G. 11. Delcarro A. 8. Esposito G. 17. Bonetti A. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 10. Kolaj A. 9. Karlsson O.	22. Sibi S. (G) 6. Daffara M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 75. Bassi M. 30. Gatti C. 5. Fanini F. 28. Patane N. 10. Zarpellon L. 7. Amadio M. 44. Pagliuca M.
Substitutes
92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 14. Cali M. 77. De Leo L. 32. Ghezzi A. 28. Meloni M. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 13. Spalluto S. 25. Vassallo F. 19. Ziu D.	2. Alfonso E. (G) 80. Bulevardi D. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 20. Fiorin G. 4. Lodovici R. 39. Mancini T. 21. Muhameti E. 90. Odogwu C. 29. Saiani F. 12. Scardigno N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
18', Patane N. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Ruiz Giraldo P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Patane N. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
49', 🟨,
59', Gatti C. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
63', Kolaj A. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
63', Karlsson O. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
68', Esposito G. ↓, Cali M. ↑,
74', Fanini F. ↓, Cuel E. ↑,
74', Amadio M. ↓, Muhameti E. ↑,
80', Delcarro A. ↓, Vassallo F. ↑,
80', Bonetti A. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 1.

Renate has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Verona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Virtus Verona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Renate might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Renate won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Renate - Juventus U23	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.25	Renate - Lecco	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Inter U23 - Renate	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Renate - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLTW
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.25	Virtus Verona - Trento	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Virtus Verona - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Vicenza Virtus - Virtus Verona	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Virtus Verona - Lecco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	0:3
20.09.24	Virtus Verona - Renate	1:2
30.03.24	Virtus Verona - Renate	0:0
25.11.23	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:1
16.04.23	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:1
11.12.22	Virtus Verona - Renate	3:0
23.02.22	Virtus Verona - Renate	0:0

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