The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Verona 17.8%
Draw 28.8%
Lecco 53.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
28.4%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
28.2%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Verona's form might have worsened.
Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Virtus Verona - Lecco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 6. Daffara M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 28. Patane N. 21. Muhameti E. 30. Gatti C. 80. Bulevardi D. 75. Bassi M. 10. Zarpellon L. 99. Fabbro M.
1. Furlan J. (G) 18. Tanco G. J. 13. Battistini M. (C) 41. Romani L. 6. Mallamo A. 5. Zanellato N. 21. Metlika A. 80. Kritta M. 10. Furrer G. 17. Pellegrino G. 25. Sipos L.
Substitutes
2. Alfonso E. (G) 7. Amadio M. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 5. Fanini F. 25. Filippi N. 20. Fiorin G. 4. Lodovici R. 39. Mancini T. 90. Odogwu C. 44. Pagliuca M. 29. Saiani F. 12. Scardigno N. (G)
9. Alaoui A. 78. Anastasini J. 14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 26. Frigerio M. R. 11. Galeandro A. 33. Lovisa N. 4. Marrone L. 20. Mihali L. 45. Rizzo M. 8. Voltan D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Furrer G. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Sipos L. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Fabbro M. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Munaretti L. ⚽,
62', Zarpellon L. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
62', Munaretti L. ↓, Amadio M. ↑,
63', Romani L. ↓, Rizzo M. ↑,
64', Mallamo A. ↓, Alaoui A. ↑,
64', Sipos L. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
76', Pellegrino G. ↓, Lovisa N. ↑,
77', Bulevardi D. ↓, Cuel E. ↑,
78', Gatti C. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
79', Kritta M. 🟨,
84', Furrer G. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Pagliuca M. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 1.
Virtus Verona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lecco is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Verona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Italy
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Sibi S. (G) 
Daffara M. 
Muhameti E. 
Tanco G. J. 
Furrer G. 
Pellegrino G. 
Sipos L. 
Odogwu C. 
Alaoui A. 
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