Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Renate		Lecco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	2.82	2.48
	2.94	2.79	2.59
	2.80	3.10	2.51	Watch
	2.97	2.8	2.47	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
31.7%

Draw
31.6%

Lecco
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

30.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Lecco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Renate - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lecco will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 5. Auriletto S. (C) 14. Cali M. 11. Delcarro A. 8. Esposito G. 3. Gardoni P. 10. Kolaj A. 72. Mastromonaco G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 13. Spalluto S. 24. Spedalieri J.	1. Furlan J. (G) 26. Frigerio M. R. 80. Kritta M. 6. Mallamo A. 4. Marrone L. (C) 21. Metlika A. 45. Rizzo M. 41. Romani L. 25. Sipos L. 18. Tanco G. J. 5. Zanellato N.
Substitutes
92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 17. Bonetti A. 32. Ghezzi A. 9. Karlsson O. 28. Meloni M. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 21. Riviera C. 6. Rossi G. 25. Vassallo F. 19. Ziu D.	9. Alaoui A. 78. Anastasini J. 79. Arena F. 14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 11. Galeandro A. 33. Lovisa N. 20. Mihali L. 19. Ndongue F. 32. Papotti D. 17. Pellegrino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Sipos L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spalluto S. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
46', Gardoni P. ↓, Riviera C. ↑,
48', Frigerio M. R. 🟨,
51', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
55', Rizzo M. 🟨,
56', Kolaj A. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
63', Mallamo A. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
63', Rizzo M. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
63', Ruiz Giraldo P. ↓, Ghezzi A. ↑,
73', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Ndongue F. ↑,
80', Cali M. ↓, Nene S. ↑,
90+1', Kritta M. 🟨,
90+5', Kritta M. ↓, Lovisa N. ↑,
90+6', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lecco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Renate won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Renate - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.75%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.25	Inter U23 - Renate	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Renate - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Renate - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Triestina - Renate	3:0 ✺
25.09.25	Renate - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTLL
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.25	Lecco - Brescia	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lecco	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Virtus Verona - Lecco	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Lecco - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Pro Vercelli - Lecco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
15.02.25	Renate - Lecco	1:0
04.10.24	Lecco - Renate	0:2
03.04.23	Renate - Lecco	0:2
30.11.22	Lecco - Renate	1:0
27.02.22	Renate - Lecco	2:3
21.10.21	Lecco - Renate	2:3
03.03.21	Lecco - Renate	2:1

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