Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Novara		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.12	2.98	3.55
	2.2	2.98	3.96
	1.83	3.53	4.03	Watch
	2.17	2.86	3.48	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)	3.13 ↓ (3.53)	3.77 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
45.9%

Draw
29.6%

Virtus Verona
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Virtus Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Novara - Virtus Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Virtus Verona will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Novara (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 70. Valdesi A. 5. Bertoncini D. 15. Khailoti O. 17. Dell'Erba D. 99. Basso G. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 8. Di Cosmo L. 10. Donadio C. 7. Lanini E. 9. Alberti T.	22. Sibi S. (G) 6. Daffara M. 95. Munaretti L. 23. Toffanin F. 75. Bassi M. 80. Bulevardi D. 30. Gatti C. 29. Saiani F. 5. Fanini F. 9. De Marchi M. 39. Mancini T.
Substitutes
72. Agyemang G. 36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 19. Collodel R. 65. Cortese A. 20. da Graca C. 71. D'Alessio L. 27. Deseri G. 79. Faye I. 3. Lartey S. 11. Ledonne N. 4. Malaspina M. 90. Perini G. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 12. Rossetti M. (G)	2. Alfonso E. (G) 7. Amadio M. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 25. Filippi N. 20. Fiorin G. 4. Lodovici R. 21. Muhameti E. 90. Odogwu C. 44. Pagliuca M. 28. Patane N. 12. Scardigno N. (G) 10. Zarpellon L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Bertoncini D. ↓, Citi A. ↑,
20', 0 - 1, De Marchi M. ⚽,
20', Basso G. 🟨,
42', Daffara M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Khailoti O. ⚽,
44', De Marchi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Daffara M. ↓, Patane N. ↑,
46', Mancini T. ↓, Zarpellon L. ↑,
61', Saiani F. ↓, Amadio M. ↑,
61', Basso G. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
62', Lanini E. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,
77', Dell'Erba D. ↓, Agyemang G. ↑,
77', Alberti T. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
78', Valdesi A. 🟨,
88', Zarpellon L. 🟨,
90+7', Toffanin F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Novara might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Novara won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.10.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Giana Erminio - Novara	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Novara - Triestina	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	3:2 ✺
25.09.25	Brescia - Novara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTLT
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.25	Virtus Verona - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Vicenza Virtus - Virtus Verona	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Virtus Verona - Lecco	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Virtus Verona - Brescia	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.01.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	3:0
07.09.24	Virtus Verona - Novara	1:0
10.02.24	Novara - Virtus Verona	1:0
29.09.23	Virtus Verona - Novara	1:1
11.05.23	Virtus Verona - Novara	3:0
21.01.23	Virtus Verona - Novara	0:1
17.09.22	Novara - Virtus Verona	0:0

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