Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lumezzane		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.50
	2.70	2.95	2.38	Watch
	2.80	3.27	2.58
	2.56	3.06	2.71	Watch
	2.70	3.20	2.50
	2.71	3.23	2.56	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.52)	3.12 ↑ (2.85)	2.55 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
34.7%

Draw
29.4%

Renate
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

31.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Lumezzane - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Andrenacci L. (G) 17. Mancini S. 21. Deratti J. 6. Gauli N. 42. Baroncioni D. 8. Rocca M. 44. Menegazzo L. 19. Rolando M. (C) 11. Ghillani A. 9. Ebone T. 32. Anatriello G.	30. Avella M. (G) 13. Motoc A. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 4. Vigano F. 11. Delcarro A. 17. Bonetti A. 25. Vassallo F. 14. Cali M. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 92. Anelli N. 9. Karlsson O.
Substitutes
99. Belvedere F. 12. Busi M. 5. D'Agostino S. 50. D'Angelo G. 77. Diodato S. 47. Ferretti E. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 10. Monachello G. 15. Ndiaye M. 27. Pavanati A. 72. Perina G.	12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 29. Botrini T. 10. Careccia S. 2. De Zen R. 8. Dore S. 23. Gobbo L. 7. Italeng J. 72. Mastromonaco G. 73. Minotti G. 61. Polp R. (G) 21. Riviera C. 15. Suarez M. 33. Tempre M. 20. Zalazar S.
Coaches
Sammarco P.	Adamo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Anelli N. ⚽, Karlsson O. (A),
30', Cali M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Ghillani A. ⚽, Ebone T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Auriletto S. 🟨,
57', Anelli N. 🟨,
64', Cali M. ↓, De Zen R. ↑,
67', Mancini S. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Anelli N. ⚽,
69', Mancini S. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
70', Ghillani A. ↓, Pavanati A. ↑,
70', Rocca M. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
78', Gauli N. 🟨,
78', Bonetti A. ↓, Careccia S. ↑,
78', Karlsson O. ↓, Italeng J. ↑,
79', Gauli N. ↓, Diodato S. ↑,
79', Ebone T. ↓, Monachello G. ↑,
84', Deratti J. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, D'Agostino S. ⚽,
90+2', Menegazzo L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 1.

Renate has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lumezzane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Lumezzane - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.92%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Renate - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.33%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.26	Cittadella - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ospitaletto - Lumezzane	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Lumezzane - Renate	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
06.05.26	Cittadella - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
07.09.26	Renate - Novara	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Cittadella - Renate	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Renate - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Alcione - Renate	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Lumezzane - Renate	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Lumezzane - Renate	2:3 penalties
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Renate - Lumezzane	0:0
02.11.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:0
16.03.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:2
02.11.24	Renate - Lumezzane	1:2
10.02.24	Renate - Lumezzane	0:1
01.10.23	Lumezzane - Renate	2:3

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