Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rennes		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.25	7	Watch
	1.43	5.00	6.50
	1.36	4.8	8.3	Watch
	1.4	5.25	8.25
	1.42	4.92	6.82	Watch
	1.35	5.45	8.75
	1.42	5.39	7.18	Watch
	1.36	5.8	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	5.23 ↑ (4.78)	7.63 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
69.1%

Draw
18.3%

Le Mans
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.9%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

21.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.7%	3.3%	0%

Rennes - Le Mans Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Rennes (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rennes will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lemaitre N. (G) 95. Frankowski P. 4. Cresswell C. 48. Ait Boudlal A. 26. Merlin Q. 17. Szymanski S. 21. Rongier V. (C) 28. Thomasson A. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 90. Soumare I.	98. Kocik N. (G) 15. Boisse N. 21. Eyoum T. 5. Voyer H. 8. Lauray A. (C) 18. Buades L. 29. Bretelle L. 11. Bourabaa A. 22. Calodat L. 25. Gueye D. 14. Mafouta L.
Substitutes
60. Belazzoug K. (G) 10. Blas L. 45. Camara M. 65. Do Marcolino H. 12. Mayenda E. 18. Nagida M. 70. Nordin A. 14. Reynolds B. 24. Rouault A.	7. Brahimi B. 20. Harhouz W. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 9. Rabillard A. 24. Robin M. 19. Sidibe D. 16. Torrente R. 23. Traore D. 10. Vercruysse J.
Coaches
Haise F.	Videira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Lepaul E. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Rongier V. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Mafouta L. ⚽, Calodat L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Soumare I. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Mafouta L. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Szymanski S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
60', Soumare I. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
60', Bretelle L. ↓, Vercruysse J. ↑,
66', Lauray A. 🟨,
68', Gueye D. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
68', Calodat L. ↓, Sidibe D. ↑,
68', Sidibe D. 🟥,
74', Rongier V. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
74', Tamari M. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
78', Merlin Q. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
81', Kocik N. ↓, Hatfout E. ↑,
81', Bourabaa A. ↓, Robin M. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 2, Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Lepaul E. 🟨,
90+12', Ait Boudlal A. 🟨,
90+12', Voyer H. 🟨,
90+13', (Penalty overturned),

Preview

Rennes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Le Mans is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rennes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Le Mans has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rennes is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Le Mans: Bamba R. (Loan agreement)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.09% Le Mans: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
10	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9:9	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
23.08.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Sunderland - Rennes	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Galatasaray - Rennes	3:3 ✺
25.07.26	Rennes - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Rennes - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTWW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 1
22.08.26	Le Mans - Brest	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Le Mans - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Angers - Le Mans	2:3 ✺
25.07.26	Le Mans - Nantes	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Le Mans - Versailles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWW

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