Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	Reno		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.3
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.82	3.7	3.35
	2.04	3.7	3.24
	1.98	3.76	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.78)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)	3.23 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reno
46.7%

Draw
25.1%

Sacramento Republic
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

25.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reno than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Reno - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Sacramento Republic has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a chance of qtrs (28%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Reno in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sacramento Republic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sacramento Republic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sacramento Republic have a series of home games.

In this match Reno is a favorite.

Sacramento Republic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 13 head-to-head matches Reno won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Reno won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Reno
USL Championship
20.09.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Reno	2:5 ✺
17.09.20	Reno - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 ✺
12.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Reno	3:3 ✺
05.09.20	Reno - Portland Timbers 2	7:1 ✺
29.08.20	Reno - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWW
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
20.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Tacoma Defiance	3:3 ✺
12.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Reno	3:3 ✺
09.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
02.09.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Sacramento Republic	1:2 ✺
22.08.20	Sacramento Republic - Portland Timbers 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Reno	3:3
12.08.20	Reno - Sacramento Republic	0:1
19.07.20	Sacramento Republic - Reno	1:0
26.10.19	Reno - Sacramento Republic	1:3
29.06.19	Reno - Sacramento Republic	2:0
US Open Cup
15.05.19	Sacramento Republic - Reno	1:0
USL Championship
11.05.19	Sacramento Republic - Reno	1:4

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