Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Sacramento Republic		Portland Timbers 2

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.75	Watch
	1.33	4.9	6.5
	1.33	4.9	6.6
	1.37	5.26	6.91
	1.36	5.1	6.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)	4.98 ↑ (4.15)	6.62 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
67.9%

Draw
18.3%

Portland Timbers 2
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

21.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

14.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacramento Republic's performance.

Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-28.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sacramento Republic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sacramento Republic - Portland Timbers 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Sacramento Republic was already of playoffs, has a chance of qtrs (26%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Portland 2 has not chance of playoffs.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sacramento Republic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sacramento Republic is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
30.09.20	Tacoma Defiance - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Reno - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Tacoma Defiance	3:3 ✺
12.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Reno	3:3 ✺
09.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTTW
- Portland Timbers 2
USL Championship
27.09.20	Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2	2:1 ✺
24.09.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance	3:1 ✺
20.09.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Reno	2:5 ✺
20.09.20	Portland Timbers 2 - El Paso Locomotive	Canceled
16.09.20	Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
02.09.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Sacramento Republic	1:2
22.08.20	Sacramento Republic - Portland Timbers 2	2:1
08.08.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Sacramento Republic	0:1
13.07.19	Sacramento Republic - Portland Timbers 2	1:0
13.04.19	Portland Timbers 2 - Sacramento Republic	1:0
29.09.18	Sacramento Republic - Portland Timbers 2	1:0
02.05.18	Portland Timbers 2 - Sacramento Republic	2:0

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