The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 18.4%
Draw 21.5%
Sacramento Republic 60.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
20%
60.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.7%
16.8%
71.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacramento Republic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portland 2 has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sacramento Republic has a very good chance of playoffs (98%), has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Portland 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sacramento Republic is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Portland 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sacramento Republic is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Sacramento Republic to win the game is with odds 1.54.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Portland 2 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Portland 2 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.
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