Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 16

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.45	3.15	1.98	Watch
	3.62	3.27	2
	3.81	3.3	1.99	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.53	3.18	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.67)	3.18 ↑ (3.04)	1.97 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
25.3%

Draw
28.5%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.2%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renofa Yamaguchi's form might have worsened.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tegevajaro Miyazaki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renofa Yamaguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tegevajaro Miyazaki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 3. Oiwa K. 5. Yoshioka K. 2. Ozawa R. 22. Okuyama Y. 6. Wakasa Y. 7. Misawa N. 77. Yamamoto R. 4. Nakashima K. 17. Tanabe K. 11. Fujioka K.	31. Okamoto M. (G) 45. Tanaka S. 28. Manabe H. 15. Abe T. 6. Okuma K. 18. Sato R. 34. Kawai T. 8. Rikiyasu S. 40. Ando R. 42. Matsumoto K. 58. Take H.
Substitutes
28. Kobayashi S. 49. Mineda Y. 27. Mizuguchi H. 40. Naruoka H. 8. Noyori K. 20. Suenaga T. 38. Tadokoro R. 19. Yamamoto S. 37. Yamanoi T. (G)	10. Inoue R. 33. Kuroki K. 1. Mogi S. (G) 47. Okumura K. 82. Sakai S. 39. Shimokawa Y. 11. Toshida Y. 5. Watanabe E. 25. Yokokubo K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Oiwa K. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Matsumoto K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Misawa N. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
46', Okuyama Y. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
65', Tanabe K. 🟨,
67', Take H. 🟨,
67', Fujioka K. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
67', Nakashima K. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
72', Sato R. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
72', Ando R. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
83', Ozawa R. ↓, Mineda Y. ↑,
85', Kawai T. ↓, Watanabe E. ↑,
85', Okuma K. ↓, Shimokawa Y. ↑,
90', Take H. ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
90+6', Tanaka S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is Confirmed as championsnQualified for J2/J3 League (Play Offs )

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Renofa Yamaguchi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:4 ✺
02.05.26	Gainare Tottori - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:1 ✺
29.04.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ryūkyū	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:3 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sagan Tosu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:1 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Gainare Tottori - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
05.04.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:0

Upcoming Matches