The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Renofa Yamaguchi 25.4%
Draw 27.1%
Kagoshima United 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
29.5%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
30.5%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renofa Yamaguchi's form might have worsened.
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renofa Yamaguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kagoshima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Iida M. (G) 49. Mineda Y. 5. Yoshioka K. 3. Oiwa K. 17. Tanabe K. 6. Wakasa Y. (C) 7. Misawa N. 2. Ozawa R. 4. Nakashima K. 11. Fujioka K. 34. Furukawa D.
21. Kawakami K. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 35. Egawa G. 5. Yamada Y. 3. Sugii H. 2. Saga R. 19. Inaba S. (C) 14. Yoshio K. 11. Fukuda M. 9. Arita R. 18. Kawamura K.
Substitutes
99. Endo M. (G) 25. Fujimori S. 40. Naruoka H. 36. Nishido H. 8. Noyori K. 20. Suenaga T. 38. Tadokoro R. 77. Yamamoto R. 19. Yamamoto S.
7. Chibu K. 20. Endo M. 8. Fujimura K. 23. Kojima R. 73. Kumakura T. (G) 16. Muramatsu K. 55. Nakayama K. 10. Take S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Mineda Y. (Own goal),
22', 1 - 1, Furukawa D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nakashima K. 🟨,
59', Egawa G. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Furukawa D. ⚽,
63', Fujioka K. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
63', Nakashima K. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
65', Yoshio K. ↓, Fujimura K. ↑,
65', Arita R. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
71', Egawa G. ↓, Muramatsu K. ↑,
71', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
74', Misawa N. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
74', Furukawa D. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
79', Kawamura K. ↓, Take S. ↑,
89', Mineda Y. ↓, Tadokoro R. ↑,
90', Inaba S. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))
Renofa Yamaguchi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kagoshima United is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
China
Japan
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Iida M. (G) 
