Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 15

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Heiwado HATO Stadium (Hikone)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Reilac Shiga		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.14	3.41	2.19
	3.03	3.51	2.2	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.15
	3.04	3.28	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	2.18 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilac Shiga
30.2%

Draw
27.7%

Renofa Yamaguchi
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

29%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilac Shiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Reilac Shiga - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Motoyoshi Y. (G) 44. Fujitani S. 3. Miyagi M. 5. Nishiyama T. 15. Kikushima T. 24. Romero F. 8. Nakamura K. 16. Suzuki S. 28. Tabei Y. 10. Hitomi T. 29. Hino T.	21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 2. Ozawa R. 5. Yoshioka K. 3. Oiwa K. 17. Tanabe K. 7. Misawa N. 40. Naruoka H. 20. Suenaga T. 8. Noyori K. 28. Kobayashi S. 19. Yamamoto S.
Substitutes
18. Akiyama S. 77. Hojo S. 1. Ito K. (G) 17. Kinoshita R. 11. Miyake K. 48. Tanida S. 23. Tatsuta S. 26. Tsunoda S. 47. Watanabe R.	98. Firmino A. 11. Fujioka K. 49. Mineda Y. 27. Mizuguchi H. 4. Nakashima K. 22. Okuyama Y. 38. Tadokoro R. 77. Yamamoto R. 37. Yamanoi T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Noyori K. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Tanabe K. ⚽, Yamamoto S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Romero F. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
46', Tabei Y. ↓, Miyake K. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Yamamoto S. ⚽, Oiwa K. (A),
65', Misawa N. ↓, Nakashima K. ↑,
65', Oiwa K. ↓, Tadokoro R. ↑,
67', Hitomi T. ↓, Tatsuta S. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Hino T. ⚽,
77', Kobayashi S. ↓, Fujioka K. ↑,
85', Suzuki S. ↓, Akiyama S. ↑,
85', Hino T. ↓, Kinoshita R. ↑,
85', Yamamoto S. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
85', Suenaga T. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
90', 1 - 4, Okuyama Y. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Reilac Shiga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Renofa Yamaguchi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Reilac Shiga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Renofa Yamaguchi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Reilac Shiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilac Shiga FC
Japan J2 J3 League
03.05.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Sagan Tosu - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Oita Trinita	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 J3 League
02.05.26	Gainare Tottori - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:1 ✺
29.04.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ryūkyū	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:3 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
15.02.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Reilac Shiga	2:1

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