Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rentistas		La Luz

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.5
	2.22	2.85	3.35
	2.34	2.94	3.39
	2.37	2.84	3.45	Watch
	2	3	3.7
	2.38	2.89	3.3	Watch
	2.22	2.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.8)	2.91 ↓ (3)	3.43 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
41.6%

Draw
31.6%

La Luz
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

23.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rentistas's form might have worsened.

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rentistas - La Luz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Fernandez L. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Carlos Sanchez ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Carlos Sanchez ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Rodales A. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Sequeira H. ⚽,

Preview

Rentistas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

La Luz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rentistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rentistas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rentistas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.05.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTLT
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.06.25	La Luz - Artigas	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	La Luz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz	4:4 ✺
20.04.25	La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.10.24	La Luz - Rentistas	0:0
05.07.24	Rentistas - La Luz	1:1

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