Match Info

Copa Uruguay - Round 1

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)


	Defensor Sporting		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.20	4.00
	1.84	3.25	3.75
	1.71	3.44	5.05
	1.67	3.5	4.95	Watch
	1.74	3.25	4.5
	1.76	3.51	4.65
	1.76	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)	3.34 ↑ (3.34)	4.44 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
52.1%

Draw
27.4%

Rentistas
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

28.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Defensor Sporting - Rentistas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Defensor Sporting (2.18) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Defensor Sporting will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Defensor Sporting will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensor Sporting (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 1.

Recent form of Defensor Sporting has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rentistas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rentistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Defensor Sporting has had a series of home games.

In this match, Defensor Sporting is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	0:4 ✺
09.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
03.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Cerro	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWL
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.08.26	Miramar Misiones - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	La Luz - Rentistas	2:5 ✺
18.07.26	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
22.10.22	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	2:3
05.06.22	Rentistas - Defensor Sporting	1:0
25.03.21	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	0:0
07.10.20	Rentistas - Defensor Sporting	2:0
06.03.16	Rentistas - Defensor Sporting	0:1
Club Friendly
26.01.16	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.09.15	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	2:0

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