Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Paysandú		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.90	2.40
	2.88	2.92	2.38
	3.06	3.02	2.43
	3.12	2.93	2.45	Watch
	3.05	2.85	2.35
	3.03	3.26	2.31	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.7)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	2.38 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandú
30.9%

Draw
30.8%

Miramar Misiones
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

31.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-3%)

Paysandú - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Paysandú is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Miramar Misiones has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Miramar Misiones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paysandú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Paysandú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.06.26	Tacuarembó - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Paysandú - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	La Luz - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Paysandú - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLL
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
07.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Miramar Misiones - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWT

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