Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 6

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Oriental de La Paz		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.80	2.45
	2.88	2.82	2.45
	3.11	2.84	2.59
	3.05	2.81	2.6	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.5
	2.97	3.21	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.7)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)	2.5 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
31.1%

Draw
32.1%

Rentistas
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.6%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33
3	Oriental	21	8	8	5	29:22	7	32

Last Results with these Odds

Oriental de La Paz - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.29%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Rentistas - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.24%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - La Luz	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLTT
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.06.26	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Rentistas - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.04.26	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	1:2
24.10.25	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	2:1
01.08.25	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	2:0
09.09.24	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	0:0
25.05.24	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	0:2
15.11.23	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	1:4
02.07.23	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	0:1

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