Match Info

Date: 5 May 2021, Wednesday


	Rentistas		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3.15	3.15	2.25	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
	3.13	3.24	2.4
	3.1	3.2	2.35	Watch
	3.22	3.36	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.55)	3.24 ↑ (3.23)	2.29 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
29.8%

Draw
29.1%

Sporting Cristal
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

20.1%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rentistas's form might have worsened.

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Cristal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rentistas - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estadio Centenario.

Rentistas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sporting Cristal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rentistas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sporting Cristal will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Copa Libertadores
29.04.21	São Paulo - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
21.04.21	Rentistas - Racing	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.21	Rentistas - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
04.04.21	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
31.03.21	Rentistas - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLLW
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.21	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.21	Racing - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
25.04.21	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.04.21	Sporting Cristal - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
13.04.21	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Municipal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW

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