Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Resende		Cinfães

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.05	4.15
	1.81	3.09	4.23
	1.75	3.38	4.57	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.82	3.14	4.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.38)	3.11 ↑ (3)	4.29 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
50%

Draw
29%

Cinfães
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Resende's performance.

Cinfães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cinfães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Resende that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cinfães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Resende - Cinfães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Costa L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 2, Tomazi M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Resende is Relegated to

In recent matches, Resende has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cinfães is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Resende won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cinfaes	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.04.26	Florgrade - Resende	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Resende - Leça	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vila Real - Resende	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Resende - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aparecida - Resende	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWLL
- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.04.26	Cinfães - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Beira-Mar - Cinfães	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cinfães - Anadia	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Gouveia - Cinfães	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Cinfães - União Lamas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.12.25	Cinfães - Resende	2:0
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Cinfães - Resende	3:0

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