Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 17

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Resende		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.68
	4.5	3.35	1.65
	4.26	3.69	1.75
	4.4	3.62	1.68
	4.3	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (4.42)	3.55 ↑ (3.37)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
21%

Draw
25.5%

Lusitânia
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

26.3%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Recent matches Resende is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lusitânia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Resende won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Machico - Resende	3:2 ✺
22.01.23	Resende - Gondomar	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Leça - Resende	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Salgueiros 08 - Resende	3:1 ✺
18.12.22	Resende - Castro Daire	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWLT
- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Lusitânia - Gondomar	4:0 ✺
22.01.23	Salgueiros 08 - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Lusitânia - Rebordosa	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Lusitânia - Alpendorada	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Valadares Gaia - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.10.22	Lusitânia - Resende	3:3

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