Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 13

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Lusitânia		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	4.8
	1.66	3.3	4.6
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.62	3.59	5.71
	1.58	3.72	5.05
	1.59	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.63)	3.59 ↓ (3.78)	5.06 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
56.8%

Draw
25.3%

Alpendorada
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Lusitânia - Alpendorada Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Alpendorada will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lusitânia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alpendorada is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lusitânia is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Valadares Gaia - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Lusitânia - Camacha	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Machico - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Lusitânia - Leça	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Castro Daire - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Alpendorada - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	5:4 ✺
04.12.22	Alpendorada - Rebordosa	0:3 ✺
27.11.22	Resende - Alpendorada	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Valadares Gaia - Alpendorada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

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