Match Info

Copa Paraguay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: La Arboleda (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Resistencia		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	6.6	4.15	1.37	Watch
	6.5	4.35	1.38
	6.94	4.51	1.39	Watch
	6.35	4.2	1.32
	8.15	4.3	1.34	Watch
	6.4	4.2	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.82 ↑ (6.6)	4.29 ↑ (4.13)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resistencia
13.2%

Draw
21%

Cerro Porteño
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

22.3%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

19.3%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Resistencia - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Riveros E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, Morel J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Resistencia won 0.

Resistencia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cerro Porteño has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Resistencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cerro Porteño is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Resistencia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Resistencia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.08.26	Sol de América - Resistencia	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Resistencia - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Resistencia - Tacuary	3:1 ✺
28.07.26	Atlético Tembetary - Resistencia	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Benjamín Aceval - Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWWL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
21.10.23	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	4:1
30.07.23	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1
07.05.23	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	1:2
24.02.23	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	1:1
07.11.22	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	1:0
09.09.22	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:2
14.06.22	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	1:0

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