Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)


	Resovia Rzeszów		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.95
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.32	3.45	2.17
	3.32	3.45	2.18
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.29	3.41	2.07
	3.2	3.35	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)	3.38 ↑ (3.23)	2.09 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resovia Rzeszów
28.7%

Draw
27.2%

Motor Lublin
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.9%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

29%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resovia Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resovia Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Resovia Rzeszów - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Resovia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Motor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pindroch B. (G) 23. Tomal J. 2. Bondarenko M. 38. Bukhal G. 42. Eizenchart B. 14. Urynowicz M. 4. Mikulec R. (C) 99. Kanach R. 10. Lyszczarz A. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 9. Gorski M.	1. Rosa K. (G) 17. Wojcik F. 18. Najemski A. 74. Kruk K. 24. Luberecki F. 22. Wojtkowski K. 37. Scalet M. 68. Wolski B. 26. Krol M. 90. Mraz S. 77. Ceglarz P. (C)
Substitutes
17. Adamski R. 20. Bak R. 92. Ciepiela B. 13. Gliwa M. (G) 25. Jaroch G. 11. Mazek K. 97. Mikrut F. 8. Pieniazek D. 90. Zastavnyi V.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 55. Gasior M. 73. Lis J. 30. Ndiaye M. J. 47. Palacz K. 21. Rudol S. 7. Rybicki M. 99. Spiewak K. 19. Welniak K.
Coaches
Ulatowski R.	Stolarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Najemski A. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Mraz S. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Urynowicz M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 3, Mraz S. ⚽, Krol M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
56', Krol M. 🟨,
61', Wojtkowski K. ↓, Rybicki M. ↑,
61', Krol M. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
63', Wojcik F. 🟨,
70', Kanach R. ↓, Jaroch G. ↑,
73', Luberecki F. ↓, Palacz K. ↑,
73', Wojcik F. ↓, Ndiaye M. J. ↑,
75', Bukhal G. 🟨,
76', Bondarenko M. ↓, Ciepiela B. ↑,
84', Najemski A. ↓, Rudol S. ↑,
84', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Mazek K. ↑,
84', Tomal J. ↓, Bak R. ↑,
84', Eizenchart B. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Resovia won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Motor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Resovia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Resovia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Resovia Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
11.05.24	Chrobry Głogów - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Arka Gdynia - Resovia Rzeszów	3:2 ✺
23.04.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	GKS Tychy - Resovia Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTLTW
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
10.05.24	Motor Lublin - Znicz Pruszków	3:3 ✺
05.05.24	Wisła Płock - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
29.04.24	Odra Opole - Motor Lublin	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Motor Lublin - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Miedź Legnica - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.01.24	Motor Lublin - Resovia Rzeszów	0:0
Polish Division 1
25.11.23	Motor Lublin - Resovia Rzeszów	3:2
Club Friendly
26.01.19	Motor Lublin - Resovia Rzeszów	1:2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.03.18	Motor Lublin - Resovia Rzeszów	1:2
20.08.17	Resovia Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	2:1
17.06.17	Resovia Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	1:3
12.11.16	Motor Lublin - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1

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