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Current Win Probability
Wisła Płock 42%
Draw 27.8%
Motor Lublin 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
30.2%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
28.4%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Wisła Płock - Motor Lublin Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Motor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Burek J. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 25. Mijuskovic N. 21. Rogelj Z. 6. Pomorski K. 8. Pacheco D. 30. Nowak W. 19. Gallapeni D. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 99. Juric D.
33. Tratnik G. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 39. Bartos M. 18. Najemski A. 24. Luberecki F. 6. Samper S. 30. Ndiaye M. 68. Wolski B. (C) 7. Rodrigues I. 19. van Hoeven B. 9. Czubak K.
Substitutes
37. Bokhno M. 2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 77. Hamulic S. 16. Hiszpanski F. 14. Kun D. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 9. Niarchos G. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 66. Salvador I. 18. Sarapata D. 84. Tavares T.
77. Dadashov R. 42. Ede B. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 10. Karasek K. 26. Krol M. 99. Kukulski P. (G) 21. Labojko J. 3. Matthys H. 2. Meyer P. 29. Santos T. 8. Scalet M. 17. Wojcik F.
Coaches
Misiura M.
Stolarski M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Wolski B. ⚽,
25', Pacheco D. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
31', 0 - 2, Czubak K. ⚽, Wolski B. (A),
39', Haglind-Sangre M. 🟨,
39', Czubak K. 🟨,
42', Najemski A. 🟨,
45+2', Rogelj Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Juric D. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
46', Kaminski M. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
46', Pomorski K. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
64', Stolarski P. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
65', van Hoeven B. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
77', Ndiaye M. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
77', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Bartos M. ⚽, Wolski B. (A),
80', Gallapeni D. ↓, Hamulic S. ↑,
82', Najemski A. ↓, Matthys H. ↑,
88', 0 - 4, Fabio Ronaldo ⚽, Rodrigues I. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).
Recent performances by Wisła Płock have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Motor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Wisła Płock might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Wisła Płock: Hamulic S.
(Inactive)
Karamarko M.
(Knee Injury)
Leszczynski R.
(Yellow Cards)
Savvidis K.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Motor: Brkic I.
(Ribs Injury)
Santos T.
(Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Wisla Plock: 0.59% Motor Lublin: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Wisla Plock
9
3
2
4
9:15
-6
11
16
Motor Lublin
9
1
3
5
9:15
-6
6
Last Results with these Odds
Motor Lublin - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 27.9%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.