Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski Odra (Opole)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)


	Odra Opole		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.5	2.95	2.75
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.71	3.05	2.91
	2.71	2.97	2.91
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.61	2.89	2.81	Watch
	2.51	2.99	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.51)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.78 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Opole
36%

Draw
30.9%

Motor Lublin
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	45.5%	9.1%

Odra Opole - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Odra Opole will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Motor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odra Opole: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Haluch A. (G) 24. Szrek J. 27. Kaminski M. (C) 2. Zemlo P. 28. Pikk A. 5. Niziolek R. 13. Purzycki A. 25. Antczak J. 11. Czaplinski D. 77. Galan B. 7. Sarmiento J.	1. Rosa K. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 18. Najemski A. 74. Kruk K. 47. Palacz K. 22. Wojtkowski K. 37. Scalet M. 68. Wolski B. 26. Krol M. 90. Mraz S. 77. Ceglarz P. (C)
Substitutes
1. Burta J. (G) 6. Continella V. 10. Hebel M. 8. Kaminski W. 9. Mikinic T. 94. Nowak K. 3. Piroch J. 29. Surzyn M. 32. Wrobel M.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 55. Gasior M. 11. Kaminski D. 3. Koziej S. 73. Lis J. 21. Rudol S. 7. Rybicki M. 19. Welniak K. 17. Wojcik F.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Stolarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Ceglarz P. (Pen),
27', 0 - 2, Wojtkowski K. ⚽, Wolski B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pikk A. ↓, Mikinic T. ↑,
54', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
55', Stolarski P. 🟨,
58', Wojtkowski K. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
59', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
65', Purzycki A. ↓, Continella V. ↑,
70', Czaplinski D. ↓, Hebel M. ↑,
70', Krol M. ↓, Kaminski D. ↑,
71', Szrek J. 🟨,
80', Antczak J. ↓, Surzyn M. ↑,
80', Sarmiento J. ↓, Nowak K. ↑,
80', Scalet M. ↓, Gasior M. ↑,
81', Najemski A. ↓, Rudol S. ↑,
87', Kaminski M. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Odra Opole is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Motor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Odra Opole won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
25.04.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Odra Opole	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Odra Opole - Chrobry Głogów	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	GKS Katowice - Odra Opole	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Odra Opole - Miedź Legnica	0:0 ✺
02.04.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWTL
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
25.04.24	Motor Lublin - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Miedź Legnica - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Wisła Kraków - Motor Lublin	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Motor Lublin - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.10.23	Motor Lublin - Odra Opole	2:0

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