Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 4

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Retrô Brasil		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.05	2.48
	2.73	3.15	2.44
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.89	3.3	2.32
	2.71	3.25	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.61)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)	2.49 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
33.7%

Draw
29.3%

Santa Cruz Recife
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Retrô (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Ricardo (G) 2. David Junio 17. Diego Guerra 11. Douglas 21. Guilherme 5. Kadi Silva 18. Lucas Sampaio 7. Luiz Henrique 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro 9. Vagner Love (C)	12. Rokenedy (G) 5. Andrey 3. Eurico (C) 11. Matheus Regis 13. Matheus Vinicius 20. Patrick Allan 2. Pedro Costa 9. Quirino 19. Renato 6. Rodrigues 8. Wagner Balotelli
Substitutes
20. Bruno Henrique 22. Bruno Marques 16. Danillo 12. David Lucas (G) 25. Ericson 23. Fabricio Pereira 10. Fernandinho 27. Iury 14. Joao Rafael 19. Lira W. 28. Oliveira G. 3. Wesley Junio	16. Alex Ruan 17. Gabriel Galhardo 25. Gabriel Souza (G) 22. Harley 4. Ianson 14. Israel 26. Matheus Castilho 15. Pedro Favela 7. Robinho 21. Vini Hora 18. Vitinho 10. Willian Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Patrick Allan 🟨,
28', Douglas 🟨,
32', Rokenedy 🟨,
32', Vagner Love 🟨,
41', Andrey 🟨,
44', Matheus Vinicius 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matheus Regis ↓, Willian Junior ↑,
58', Diego Guerra ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
59', Douglas ↓, Ericson ↑,
61', Pedro Costa ↓, Israel ↑,
61', Rodrigues ↓, Alex Ruan ↑,
68', 🟨,
68', Andrey 🟥,
68', Renato ↓, Pedro Favela ↑,
76', Guilherme ↓, Bruno Marques ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Bruno Marques ⚽,
81', Radsley ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
81', Patrick Allan ↓, Robinho ↑,
89', Bruno Marques 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Retrô won 0.

Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Santa Cruz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Retrô won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Retrô won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.01.26	Maguary - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Retrô Brasil - Vitória das Tabocas	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.25	Confiança - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Retrô Brasil - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWLT
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
17.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Vitória das Tabocas	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Maguary - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Decisão	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.10.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
28.01.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Retrô Brasil	1:0
15.02.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Retrô Brasil	0:0
25.02.23	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
Brazilian Serie D
01.08.22	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2
24.07.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Retrô Brasil	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
26.02.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Retrô Brasil	0:4
28.04.21	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	2:3

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