Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Barra Santa Catarina		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.90	3.80
	2.14	2.95	3.30	Watch
	2.00	2.95	4.20
	2.14	2.97	3.75
	2.05	2.85	3.90
	2.05	3.15	3.78	Watch
	1.96	2.90	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	3.79 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
44.8%

Draw
31%

Santa Cruz Recife
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

31.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ewerton (G) 2. Augusto Potiguar 11. Cleo Silva 4. Everton Alemao 3. Jean Pierre (C) 7. Marcelinho 5. Natan Costa 8. Pablo Gabriel 6. Vava Franca 9. Vinicius Popo 10. Warley Jr	25. Gabriel Souza (G) 6. Alex Ruan 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 13. Matheus Vinicius 5. Pedro Favela 9. Quirino 19. Renato 17. Ronald 18. Vitinho 4. William Alves (C)
Substitutes
24. Betinho 14. Da Rocha 12. Fabian Volpi (G) 13. Fabio 23. Lucas Vargas 16. Matheus Barbosa 19. Matheuzinho 20. Nicolas 18. Nikolas Francisco 17. Pedro Pecanha 21. Renan Bernabe 15. Tete	15. Andrey 28. Eron 7. Fabinho 30. Jefferson Bahia 8. Leo Costa 21. Nilton 20. Patrick Allan 16. Rodrigues 12. Rokenedy (G) 26. Silva 2. Thiago Ennes 23. Tiago Marques
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Cristian Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Matheus Vinicius ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Quirino ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Natan Costa ↓, Betinho ↑,
46', Vinicius Popo ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Renan Bernabe ⚽,
55', Marcelinho 🟨,
55', 🟨,
62', Quirino ↓, Eron ↑,
62', Ronald ↓, Nilton ↑,
66', Cleo Silva ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
66', Vava Franca ↓, Da Rocha ↑,
75', Da Rocha 🟨,
77', Renato ↓, Silva ↑,
77', Alex Ruan ↓, Thiago Ennes ↑,
83', William Alves 🟨,
90', Lucas Vargas 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

In recent matches, Barra has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santa Cruz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barra could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Barra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91% Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
04.07.26	Confiança - Barra Santa Catarina	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Floresta - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
15.06.26	Ferroviária - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
01.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLT
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
04.07.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ituano	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandu - Santa Cruz Recife	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.10.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
27.09.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Barra Santa Catarina	1:2

Upcoming Matches