Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday


	Retrô Brasil		Avaí

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.63
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.55	2.95	2.65
	2.64	3.02	2.71
	2.62	3	2.6
	2.65	3.24	2.67
	2.65	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.64)	3.13 ↑ (3.13)	2.62 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
35.3%

Draw
29.5%

Avaí
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Retrô Brasil - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Retrô is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avaí is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avaí could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
25.02.23	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Afogados da Ingazeira - Retrô Brasil	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Retrô Brasil - CA Porto	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
25.01.23	Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLT
- Avaí
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
25.02.23	Avaí - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
16.02.23	Atlético Catarinense - Avaí	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Avaí - Brusque	1:1 ✺
08.02.23	Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí	4:3 ✺
04.02.23	Avaí - Figueirense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTLW

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