Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Beirne Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rhode Island		San Antonio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.65	3.8	4.7
	1.74	3.78	4.43
	1.69	3.88	4.68	Watch
	1.73	3.66	4.58	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.06)	3.73 ↑ (3.46)	4.5 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
54.6%

Draw
24.9%

San Antonio
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Antonio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Antonio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rhode Island - San Antonio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 12. Holstad C. 5. Stoneman G. 11. Fuson N. 18. Brito J. 3. Sanchez A. 20. Herivaux Z. 17. Kwizera J. 14. Hope-Gund R. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 21. Rodriguez M.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 6. Omar M. 3. Taintor M. 21. Crognale A. 4. Blanco N. 94. Medranda J. 10. Hernandez J. 18. Soto A. 8. Hernandez D. 11. Greive A. 32. Paredes L.
Substitutes
16. Dewhurst C. 10. Dikwa A. 22. Lee J. (G) 13. Meyer W. (G) 8. Okiyoshi T. 19. Vang K.	17. Agudelo J. 14. Berron L. 22. Gomez S. 7. Haakenson L. 9. LaCava J. 13. Namani D. (G) 70. Pacheco D.
Coaches
Smith K.	Llamosa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Hernandez J. 🟨,
44', Holstad C. 🟨,
45+1', Paredes L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Brito J. ↓, Dikwa A. ↑,
65', Kwizera J. 🟨,
65', Greive A. ↓, Agudelo J. ↑,
65', Medranda J. ↓, Haakenson L. ↑,
77', Hernandez D. 🟨,
80', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Okiyoshi T. ↑,
81', Paredes L. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
90', Soto A. ↓, Berron L. ↑,
90', Hernandez J. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Rhode Island has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rhode Island is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rhode Island won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Cup
27.04.25	Westchester SC - Rhode Island	1:4 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Detroit City - Rhode Island	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Rhode Island	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
05.04.25	Oakland Roots - Rhode Island	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWL
- San Antonio FC
USL Cup
26.04.25	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
23.04.25	San Antonio - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:2 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Union Omaha - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	San Antonio - Miami	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	San Antonio - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
28.09.24	San Antonio - Rhode Island	1:3

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