Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Union Omaha		San Antonio

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.83	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.83	Watch
	3.7	3.75	1.83
	3.72	3.96	1.87
	3.67	3.82	1.88	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.8
	3.95	3.74	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (5.55)	3.67 ↓ (4)	1.84 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
24.7%

Draw
25.2%

San Antonio
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

23.2%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

22.6%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Omaha's performance.

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Antonio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Omaha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Antonio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Union Omaha - San Antonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Union Omaha will win (votes: 6 - 75%). San Antonio will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Omaha: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Omaha (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Nuhu R. (G) 26. Acoff D. 14. Kallman B. 5. Milanese M. 13. Holt A. 20. Ostrem C. 7. Gallardo J. 30. Martinez I. 23. Schneider M. 10. Kasim P. 21. Gomez J.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 6. Omar M. 21. Crognale A. 5. Souahy A. 4. Blanco N. 94. Medranda J. 18. Soto A. 17. Agudelo J. 10. Hernandez J. 7. Haakenson L. 55. Erofeev D.
Substitutes
95. Amiche K. 18. Bronnik M. 36. Jensen C. (G) 27. Jiba R. 8. Ors S. 9. Ouamri M. 16. Wootton L.	14. Berron L. 11. Greive A. 8. Hernandez D. 13. Namani D. (G) 34. Osorio J. 70. Pacheco D. 32. Paredes L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Acoff D. ⚽, Martinez I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kasim P. ↓, Ouamri M. ↑,
46', Haakenson L. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
46', Agudelo J. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
50', Medranda J. 🟨,
60', Gallardo J. ↓, Ors S. ↑,
74', Martinez I. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
76', Hernandez J. 🟨,
77', Erofeev D. ↓, Greive A. ↑,
83', Milanese M. 🟨,
90+3', Kallman B. 🟨,
90+3', Kallman B. ↓, Bronnik M. ↑,
90+4', Soto A. 🟨,
90+5', Ouamri M. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Union Omaha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Union Omaha have a series of guest games.

In this match San Antonio is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL League One
09.04.25	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Des Moines Menace - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL League One
29.03.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
US Open Cup
21.03.25	Flatirons - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL League One
12.03.25	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL
- San Antonio FC
USL Championship
12.04.25	San Antonio - Miami	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	San Antonio - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Lexington - San Antonio	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Oakland Roots - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	San Antonio - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWWW

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