Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ)

Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Phoenix Rising		San Antonio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.15
	2.24	3.25	3.62
	2.2	3.08	3.44	Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.14	2.93	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.41)	3.08 ↑ (2.91)	3.35 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
42.4%

Draw
30%

San Antonio
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+2%)

Phoenix Rising - San Antonio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakovsky P. (C) 2. Smith C. 4. Mar Boye P. 17. JP Scearce 20. Biasi L. 13. Moursou J. 8. Gomez D. 12. Dennis C. 24. Pelayo A. 10. Avayevu H. 7. Sacko I.	98. Batrouni J. (G) 13. Ward A. 21. Crognale A. 43. Tiago 3. Taintor M. (C) 22. Cuello E. 10. Hernandez J. 6. Calov C. 15. Maldonado M. 19. Parano C. 99. Sorto C.
Substitutes
80. Balanzar A. 47. Cross N. 33. Gaydon J. 14. Odunze C. (G) 44. Ping J. 91. Ramirez E. 37. Rivera G. 11. Studenhofft G.	17. Barbir D. 14. Berron L. 4. Blanco N. 55. Erofeev D. 70. Pacheco D. 9. Patino S. 1. Sanchez R. (G)
Coaches
Kah P.	Llamosa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Parano C. ↓, Erofeev D. ↑,
34', Pelayo A. 🟨,
44', Dennis C. 🟥,
45+3', 0 - 1, Erofeev D. ⚽, Cuello E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Taintor M. 🟨,
50', Mar Boye P. 🟨,
61', Crognale A. ↓, Barbir D. ↑,
62', Cuello E. ↓, Blanco N. ↑,
64', Blanco N. 🟨,
66', Smith C. 🟨,
70', Calov C. ↓, Berron L. ↑,
70', Pacheco D. 🟨,
71', Erofeev D. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
73', Gomez D. ↓, Rivera G. ↑,
73', Avayevu H. ↓, Studenhofft G. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Pelayo A. ⚽,
84', Pelayo A. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
89', Biasi L. ↓, Cross N. ↑,
90+3', Sacko I. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Phoenix Rising might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
02.05.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Miami - Phoenix Rising	0:3 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Phoenix Rising	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
11.04.26	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW
- San Antonio FC
USL Championship
02.05.26	San Antonio - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:3 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	San Antonio - Birmingham Legion	1:0 penalties ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	San Antonio - Miami	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Orange County SC - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.03.26	San Antonio - Phoenix Rising	2:1
18.10.25	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	1:0
USL Cup
26.04.25	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	0:1
USL Championship
06.04.25	San Antonio - Phoenix Rising	1:2
21.09.24	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	4:0
06.07.24	San Antonio - Phoenix Rising	2:1
05.08.23	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	1:2

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