Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 20

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Ribeirão		Camacha

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.66	3.02	1.93
	3.7	3.04	2.12
	3.59	3.04	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.22)	3.03 ↑ (2.87)	2 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ribeirão
24.8%

Draw
29.9%

Camacha
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

32.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

33%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ribeirão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camacha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeirão than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camacha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Ribeirão has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Camacha is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Camacha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Camacha have a series of home games.

Camacha will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ribeirão won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ribeirão
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
11.02.24	Vilar de Perdizes - Ribeirão	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ribeirão - Mirandela	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Dumiense - Ribeirão	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Ribeirão - Os Sandinenses	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Vila Real - Ribeirão	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.02.24	Camacha - Limianos	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Tirsense - Camacha	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Camacha - Montalegre	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Camacha - Brito	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Camacha - Portosantense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.10.23	Camacha - Ribeirão	3:1

Ribeirão - Camacha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide