Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 26

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Ribeirão		Limianos

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.62
	5	3.4	1.65
	5.8	3.65	1.6
	5.8	3.65	1.6
	5.41	3.64	1.57
	5	3.4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↑ (5.12)	3.52 ↑ (3.43)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ribeirão
17.3%

Draw
26%

Limianos
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

26.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

26.6%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ribeirão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Limianos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeirão than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limianos than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Ribeirão is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Limianos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ribeirão could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Limianos is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ribeirão won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ribeirão
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.03.24	Tirsense - Ribeirão	3:0 ✺
17.03.24	Ribeirão - Montalegre	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Brito - Ribeirão	4:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ribeirão - Portosantense	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Marítimo B - Ribeirão	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLLTW
- AD Limianos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.03.24	Montalegre - Limianos	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Limianos - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Limianos - Tirsense	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Limianos - Brito	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Portosantense - Limianos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.12.23	Limianos - Ribeirão	1:2

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