Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Innviertel Arena (Ried)

Referee: Stefan M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, LAOLA1


	Ried		ASK Voitsberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.21	6.25	10
	1.25	6	10
	1.22	6.71	10.51
	1.23	6.11	11.06	Watch
	1.23	6.25	11	Watch
	1.25	6	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.4)	6.22 ↑ (4.77)	10.35 ↑ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
75.9%

Draw
15%

ASK Voitsberg
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

19.7%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

18.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ried's performance.

ASK Voitsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ried that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASK Voitsberg than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Ried - ASK Voitsberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Ried will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leitner A. (G) 5. Havenaar N. 30. Steurer O. 31. Wohlmuth F. 21. Bumberger D. 8. Rasner M. 23. Sollbauer M. 26. Mayer J. 10. Grosse M. 9. Sane S. 12. Bajic A.	31. Schogl F. (G) 6. Saurer D. 12. Scheucher P. 21. Jandrisevits E. 9. Milla K. 22. Salentinig M. (C) 10. Zuna P. 24. Kirnbauer D. 27. Strommer C. 25. Halwachs J. 33. Urdl C.
Substitutes
3. Agbenyenu L. 19. Berger D. 43. Celic N. 28. Eza W. 47. Mankowski A. 18. Rossdorfer F. 77. Wimmer F. (G)	1. Ehmann F. (G) 89. Jantscher J. 15. Krienzer M. 39. Neubauer E. 8. Pungarsek N. 20. Seidl P. 16. Sidar L.
Coaches
Senft M.	Preiss D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Kirnbauer D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Milla K. ↓, Jantscher J. ↑,
46', Mayer J. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
52', Jandrisevits E. 🟨,
58', Havenaar N. 🟨,
59', Sane S. ↓, Eza W. ↑,
69', Rasner M. ↓, Celic N. ↑,
69', Wohlmuth F. ↓, Mankowski A. ↑,
76', Mankowski A. 🟨,
80', Halwachs J. 🟨,
81', Salentinig M. 🟨,
82', Bajic A. ↓, Berger D. ↑,
85', Saurer D. 🟨,
86', Salentinig M. ↓, Seidl P. ↑,
90+3', Urdl C. ↓, Krienzer M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Ried is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Voitsberg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ried could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ried is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Austrian 2 Liga
31.08.24	Lafnitz - Ried	0:3 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
28.08.24	Ried - Sturm Graz	1:3 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
24.08.24	Ried - Liefering	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Floridsdorfer AC - Ried	0:1 ✺
09.08.24	Ried - Horn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- ASK Voitsberg
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Wolfsberger - ASK Voitsberg	0:0 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
01.09.24	ASK Voitsberg - Kapfenberger SV	1:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
28.08.24	Kapfenberger SV - ASK Voitsberg	0:2 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
24.08.24	Rapid Wien II - ASK Voitsberg	4:0 ✺
16.08.24	ASK Voitsberg - Horn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLWLL

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