Match Info

2. Liga - Round 27

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Innviertel Arena (Ried)

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Ried		Admira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.9
	1.86	3.6	3.95
	1.84	3.61	4.26
	1.85	3.51	4.17	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.1	Watch
	1.86	3.6	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.85)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	4.06 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
50.5%

Draw
26.4%

Admira
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.9%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Admira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Admira than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Ried - Admira Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leitner A. (G) 31. Wohlmuth F. 5. Havenaar N. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 17. Pomer P. 8. Rasner M. 12. Bajic A. 26. Mayer J. 28. Eza W. 10. Grosse M.	37. Siebenhandl J. (G) 15. Horvat M. 23. Haudum S. 6. Malicsek L. 33. Weberbauer J. 16. Summers B. 5. Ebner T. 24. Holzhacker F. 7. Young R. 22. Ristanic F. 10. Gashi A.
Substitutes
3. Agbenyenu L. 19. Berger D. 21. Bumberger D. 43. Celic N. 7. Marinsek N. 29. van Wyk A. 77. Wimmer F. (G)	21. Ajanovic N. 31. Conde S. (G) 17. El Moukhantir A. 27. Knasmullner C. 42. Nussbaumer D. 20. Schabauer M. 77. Stevanovic A.
Coaches
Senft M.	Silberberger T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Havenaar N. ⚽, Grosse M. (A),
16', Summers B. 🟨,
16', Grosse M. 🟨,
22', Ebner T. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Grosse M. ⚽, Bajic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ristanic F. ↓, Nussbaumer D. ↑,
46', Summers B. ↓, Ajanovic N. ↑,
55', Gashi A. ↓, Knasmullner C. ↑,
62', Grosse M. ↓, van Wyk A. ↑,
64', Weberbauer J. ↓, Schabauer M. ↑,
70', Rasner M. ↓, Celic N. ↑,
72', Schabauer M. 🟨,
78', Ebner T. ↓, Stevanovic A. ↑,
79', Eza W. ↓, Berger D. ↑,
79', Mayer J. ↓, Marinsek N. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Ried is the team to beat.

There will not play in Ried: Sane S. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Admira: El Moukhantir A. (Back Injury) Holzmann M. (Knee Injury) Kaltenbock F. (Shoulder Injury) Murgas J. (Knee Injury) Verwuster D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ried won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ried won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Austrian 2 Liga
27.04.25	Kapfenberger SV - Ried	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Ried - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	St. Pölten - Ried	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Rapid Wien II - Ried	0:5 ✺
04.04.25	Ried - Amstetten	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWWT
- FC Admira
Austrian 2 Liga
25.04.25	Admira - Sturm Graz B	2:3 ✺
21.04.25	Amstetten - Admira	3:2 ✺
18.04.25	Admira - Stripfing	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Austria Lustenau - Admira	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Floridsdorfer AC - Admira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
01.11.24	Admira - Ried	1:0
25.02.24	Admira - Ried	3:2
04.08.23	Ried - Admira	2:2
Austrian Bundesliga
26.04.22	Ried - Admira	1:1
12.03.22	Admira - Ried	3:0
06.11.21	Admira - Ried	1:2
07.08.21	Ried - Admira	2:1

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