Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Innviertel Arena (Ried)

Referee: Schnur J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Israel	Sport 5 Max
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Ried		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.46	Watch
	5.50	4.60	1.49
	5.80	4.40	1.48
	6.33	4.66	1.52
	5.79	4.4	1.53	Watch
	6.35	4.50	1.49
	6.16	4.83	1.49	Watch
	5.60	4.60	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↑ (4.65)	4.59 ↑ (4.07)	1.49 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried
16%

Draw
20.6%

Red Bull Salzburg
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

23.2%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.8%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.3%	95.7%

Ried - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

1X2 - FC Salzburg (1.55) (votes: 96%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Red Bull Salzburg will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Bull Salzburg will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leitner A. (C) 12. Bajic A. 5. Radonjic D. 28. Chukwudi S. 30. Steurer O. 17. Pomer P. 22. Schwab S. 6. Maart Y. 8. Rasner M. 9. Sissoko P. 10. Nasrawe J.	52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 18. Veratschnig N. (C) 44. Boma K. 47. Zabransky V. 31. Schmid D. 32. Barry A. 15. Mazurek B. 20. Baidoo E. 8. Kitano S. 11. Vertessen Y. 9. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
47. Aisowieren E. E. 15. Boguo J. 29. Capan L. 21. Kusanovic T. 19. Lund-Jensen T. 4. Malicsek L. 11. Rhodes J. 7. Sorg O. 77. Wimmer F. (G)	33. Camara A. 21. Drexler T. 92. Hupfauf T. (G) 19. Konate K. 13. Kratzig F. 35. Lindstrom J. 39. Morgalla L. 23. Redzic D. 7. Tohumcu U.
Coaches
Despotovic M.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Sissoko P. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
58', Vertessen Y. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
64', Kitano S. 🟨,
66', Barry A. 🟨,
66', Schwab S. 🟨,
72', Nasrawe J. ↓, Rhodes J. ↑,
73', Kitano S. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
73', Baidoo E. ↓, Redzic D. ↑,
74', Rasner M. ↓, Malicsek L. ↑,
79', Despotovic M. 🟨,
84', 0 - 1, Konate K. ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Pomer P. ⚽, Maart Y. (A),
90+2', Rhodes J. ↓, Aisowieren E. E. ↑,
90+3', Boguo J. 🟨,
90+3', Veratschnig N. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 0.

In recent matches, Ried has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salzburg is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ried may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Salzburg is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Ried: Rhodes J. (Inactive) Stoger D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Salzburg: Diabate S. (Injury) Diakite G. (Inactive) Moser J. (Muscle Injury) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Redzic D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ried won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:56. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ried won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1:2.6).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Salzburg: 53.42% Ried: 0.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18:4	14	17
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11:12	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried
Austrian OFB Cup
04.09.26	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Ried	1:5 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
30.08.26	Hartberg - Ried	3:2 ✺
21.08.26	Ried - Grazer AK	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	LASK Linz - Ried	4:1 ✺
09.08.26	Ried - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian OFB Cup
06.09.26	St. Pölten - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	5:1 ✺
30.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Wien	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Mjällby	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Mjällby - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	4:1
02.08.25	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2
26.02.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	2:0
10.09.22	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3
Austrian OFB Cup
01.05.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	3:0
Club Friendly
18.01.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	3:1
Austrian Bundesliga
30.10.21	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2

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