Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	TV4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, TV4


	Riga		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.45
	2.7	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.76	3.15	2.52
	2.73	3.27	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.62
	2.76	3.24	2.51	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.8)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.51 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
34.6%

Draw
28.6%

Śląsk Wrocław
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

28.2%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29.1%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.1%	18.6%	16.3%

Riga - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 28 - 65.1%). Śląsk will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 50.9% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matrevics R. (G) 35. Erquiaga I. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 3. Ngom M. 13. Jurkovskis R. 4. Galo O. 8. Jojic M. 14. Babec H. 22. Niang O. 10. Reginaldo Ramires 9. Contreras A.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 22. Zukowski M. 5. Petkov A. (C) 87. Petrov S. 3. Szota S. 16. Pokorny P. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 29. Jezierski J. 17. Schwarz P. 10. Nahuel M. 11. Musiolik S.
Substitutes
23. Daskevics E. 33. Iljins K. 77. Mankenda G. 25. Muzinga N. 93. Nguena K. 7. Orosco B. 11. Pena B. 16. Purins N. (G) 18. Regza M. 12. Zommers K. (G)	21. Baluta T. 14. Bartolewski M. 6. Gerstenstein L. 78. Guercio T. 26. Ince B. 1. Loska T. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 19. Ortiz A. 2. Paluszek A. 27. Rejczyk F. 44. Sliczniak H. (G)
Coaches
Valakari S.	Magiera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Niang O. ⚽, Ngom M. (A),
22', Petrov S. 🟨,
41', Pokorny P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jezierski J. ↓, Rejczyk F. ↑,
46', Szota S. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
58', Contreras A. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
69', Reginaldo Ramires 🟨,
73', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Gerstenstein L. ↑,
73', Jojic M. ↓, Orosco B. ↑,
74', Rejczyk F. 🟨,
84', Zukowski M. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
88', Niang O. 🟨,
88', Niang O. ↓, Daskevics E. ↑,
88', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Regza M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Riga in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Śląsk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
19.07.24	Riga - Jelgava	6:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
13.07.24	JFK Ventspils - Riga	0:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
07.07.24	Liepāja - Riga	0:3 ✺
02.07.24	Valmiera - Riga	2:2 ✺
26.06.24	Riga - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTW
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Opava - Śląsk Wrocław	0:2 ✺
03.07.24	Slavia Prague - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Śląsk Wrocław - CFR Cluj	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWLW

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