Match Info

LATVIA: Virsliga - Round 21

Date: 2 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs (Valmiera)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball app


	Valmiera		Riga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.85
	3.75	3.5	1.9
	3.56	3.55	1.92
	3.58	3.61	1.88
	3.5	3.5	1.85
	3.62	3.5	1.87	Watch
	3.55	3.45	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.71)	3.5 ↑ (3.5)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera
25.5%

Draw
26.1%

Riga
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.1%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

24.8%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Valmiera - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Valmiera will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Riga will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Oss D. (G) 2. Balodis D. (C) 23. Tonisevs M. 21. Penkevics K. 27. Birka E. 10. Vapne L. 34. Korobenko A. 14. Varslavans R. 29. Bahamboula J. 24. Ndoye A. 77. Porsan-Clemente J.	16. Purins N. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 3. Ngom M. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 35. Erquiaga I. 14. Babec H. 7. Orosco B. 8. Jojic M. 93. Nguena K. 22. Niang O. 18. Regza M.
Substitutes
15. Cesnieks K. 22. Diop M. 17. Duke C. 18. Dusaliejvs N. 19. Gueye D. 7. Gustavo 1. Olses C. (G) 41. Omori Y. 25. Rotar C.	23. Daskevics E. 24. Iberico L. 33. Iljins K. 77. Mankenda G. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 20. Muscia G. 11. Pena B.
Coaches
Kalnins G.	Valakari S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Korobenko A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bahamboula J. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Ndoye A. ⚽, Porsan-Clemente J. (A),
58', Orosco B. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
63', Niang O. ↓, Daskevics E. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Ndoye A. ⚽, Varslavans R. (A),
71', Penkevics K. 🟨,
78', Porsan-Clemente J. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
83', Jurkovskis R. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
90+2', Varslavans R. ↓, Dusaliejvs N. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Mankenda G. ⚽, Daskevics E. (A),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 2.

Valmiera is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Riga is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Riga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Valmiera won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK
Latvian Virsliga
26.06.24	RFS - Valmiera	4:1 ✺
20.06.24	Valmiera - Metta	3:0 ✺
14.06.24	Valmiera - Tukums 2000	6:1 ✺
01.06.24	BFC Daugavpils - Valmiera	1:6 ✺
28.05.24	Valmiera - Jelgava	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
26.06.24	Riga - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Grobiņa - Riga	0:6 ✺
16.06.24	RFS - Riga	2:2 ✺
02.06.24	Riga - Metta	5:0 ✺
29.05.24	Riga - Tukums 2000	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
10.05.24	Riga - Valmiera	1:1
31.03.24	Valmiera - Riga	2:1
11.11.23	Valmiera - Riga	1:1
26.08.23	Riga - Valmiera	3:0
09.06.23	Valmiera - Riga	1:0
30.04.23	Riga - Valmiera	3:0
11.09.22	Valmiera - Riga	3:1

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