Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kairat		Zhenis

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.40	7.50
	1.32	4.25	7.00	Watch
	1.37	4.58	7.08
	1.28	5.1	9.2	Watch
	1.37	4.30	7.00
	1.39	4.55	7.75	Watch
	1.34	4.30	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)	4.5 ↓ (4.99)	7.5 ↓ (8.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
67.7%

Draw
20.2%

Zhenis
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

18.4%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.7%

17.4%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kairat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Kairat - Zhenis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Zhenis will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 8. Baybek O. 5. Kurgin L. 22. Mendonsa G. 13. Oksanen J. 19. Jukkola O. 28. Gual M. 3. Mata L. 9. Edmilson	41. Plotnikov M. (G) 17. Adilov A. 5. Tevzadze Z. (C) 63. Saravanja I. 3. Kpozo P. 18. Madelkhan B. 8. Khaseyn M. 88. Martins G. 10. Imnadze L. 9. Naumets V. 19. Adilio
Substitutes
81. Bekbolat I. 15. Birkurmanov M. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 44. Lucas Africo 32. Nurgaliev A. 6. Sadybekov A. 20. Tapalov E. 17. Tuyakbaev A.	16. Abuov T. (G) 97. Besengaliyev Y. 4. Bystrov M. 93. Elder Santana 11. Filipovic A. 7. Kuat I. 14. Saulet A. 1. Sotnik I. (G) 13. Tursynbay S. 29. Zharynbetov S.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Sliskovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Edmilson ⚽, Kurgin L. (A),
45', Saravanja I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Adilio 🟨,
52', Kurgin L. 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Gual M. ⚽,
64', Jukkola O. ↓, Tapalov E. ↑,
65', Naumets V. ↓, Besengaliyev Y. ↑,
69', Edmilson ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
74', Madelkhan B. ↓, Zharynbetov S. ↑,
75', Martynovich A. 🟨,
75', Martynovich A. ↓, Nurgaliev A. ↑,
76', Gual M. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
76', Mendonsa G. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
81', Saravanja I. ↓, Tursynbay S. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Mata L. ⚽, Tuyakbaev A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Kairat is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
05.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Anderlecht - Kairat	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Kairat - Anderlecht	0:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Kairat - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW
- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
05.09.26	Aktobe - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Zhenis - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
19.08.26	Zhenis - Kaisar	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Zhenis - Zhetysu	4:1 ✺
02.08.26	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
17.05.26	Zhenis - Kairat	1:2
22.09.25	Kairat - Zhenis	3:1
09.05.25	Zhenis - Kairat	1:2
Kazakh League Cup
25.09.24	Kairat - Zhenis	2:1 penalties
10.08.24	Zhenis - Kairat	2:0
Kazakh Premier League
14.07.24	Kairat - Zhenis	1:1
12.05.24	Zhenis - Kairat	0:2

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