Match Info

Virsliga - Round 31

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs (Jelgava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Jelgava		Riga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	4.80	1.33
	8.3	4.55	1.31	Watch
	7.9	5.3	1.34
	7.98	5.36	1.32	Watch
	7.75	5.35	1.27
	7.7	4.9	1.29	Watch
	7	4.9	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.63 ↓ (7.85)	5.02 ↑ (4.88)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelgava
12%

Draw
18.2%

Riga
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

18.6%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

18%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for Riga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Jelgava - Riga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dvorak A. (C) 13. Novikovs J. 4. Kangars A. 27. Alekseiciks K. 3. Semesko M. 22. Pudil M. 29. Zaleiko G. 11. Hasek M. 8. Melkis R. 24. Hasek F. 17. Rataj T.	91. Orols F. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 21. Musah B. 5. Wassom K. 13. Jurkovskis R. (C) 4. Galo O. 40. Ankrah A. 7. Aouani R. 8. Iago Siqueira 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 19. Badamosi M.
Substitutes
9. Becers R. 23. Dreimanis A. 21. Kacanovs G. 16. Leitis T. (G) 20. Patika G. 19. Petersons A. 18. Smaukstelis E.	3. Abner 99. Caio Ferreira 22. Diop M. 28. Maurs-Boks E. 15. Robalo Pedro S. L. 6. Saco C. 17. Salazar A. 25. Taiwo A. 1. Zviedris K. (G)
Coaches
Basovs A.	Gula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Iago Siqueira ⚽, Aouani R. (A),
32', Musah B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
63', Iago Siqueira 🟨,
67', Aouani R. ↓, Caio Ferreira ↑,
68', Zaleiko G. 🟨,
71', Novikovs J. 🟨,
73', Rataj T. ↓, Patika G. ↑,
73', Melkis R. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
79', Novikovs J. 🟥,
82', Hasek F. ↓, Smaukstelis E. ↑,
83', Pudil M. ↓, Dreimanis A. ↑,
83', Hasek M. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
83', Oulad M'Hand S. ↓, Robalo Pedro S. L. ↑,
90+1', Badamosi M. ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Jelgava could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Riga holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jelgava has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:56 (averaging 0.8:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jelgava against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with 6:30 goals (averaging 0.6:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Riga FC	31	22	7	2	86:30	56	73
7	Jelgava	31	8	8	15	32:49	-17	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
12.09.26	Grobiņa - Jelgava	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Jelgava - Super Nova	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tukums 2000 - Jelgava	1:4 ✺
22.08.26	Ogre United - Jelgava	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	Jelgava - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWL
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
15.09.26	Super Nova - Riga	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Riga - Auda Riga	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
03.09.26	RFS - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
31.08.26	Liepāja - Riga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
03.07.26	Riga - Jelgava	3:0
16.05.26	Riga - Jelgava	2:2
04.04.26	Jelgava - Riga	0:8
21.09.25	Jelgava - Riga	2:3
01.07.25	Riga - Jelgava	3:0
10.05.25	Riga - Jelgava	2:0
15.03.25	Jelgava - Riga	1:1

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