Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 11

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Sporta centrs Krasts (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Super Nova 2		Tukums 2000 2

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.80	3.80
	1.92	3.65	3.15
	3.05	3.66	2
	2.33	3.67	2.56	Watch
	2.9	3.6	1.97
	3.18	3.9	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.7)	3.71 ↓ (3.95)	2.57 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Super Nova 2
37.7%

Draw
25.5%

Tukums 2000 2
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

23%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

22.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Super Nova 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Super Nova 2's form might have worsened.

Tukums 2000 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tukums 2000 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova 2 than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tukums 2000 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Super Nova 2 - Tukums 2000 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Strelcovs I. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Strelcovs I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 3 - 0, Strelcovs I. ⚽, Stupelis O. (A),
76', 3 - 1, Klavins K. ⚽, Melkis R. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 11).

In recent matches, Super Nova 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tukums 2000 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Super Nova 2 is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Super Nova 2	21	6	7	8	28:32	-4	25
10	Tukums 2000 2	21	5	3	13	27:60	-33	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Super Nova 2
Latvian 1 Liga
13.06.26	Metta - Super Nova 2	7:3 ✺
26.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Valmiera	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	Smiltene - Super Nova 2	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Rēzekne	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Mārupe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWL
- Tukums 2000 2
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
24.05.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Rēzekne - Tukums 2000 2	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Leevon PPK - Tukums 2000 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTWLL

Super Nova 2 - Tukums 2000 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide