Match Info
Nakotnes liga - Round 8Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday
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Skanstes |
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JFK Ventspils |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.90 |
3.40 |
3.25 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.45 |
3.4 |
|
 |
1.79 |
3.64 |
3.81 |
|
 |
1.79 |
3.74 |
3.75 |
 Watch |
 |
1.7 |
3.45 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.78 |
4.12 |
3.61 |
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 |
1.88 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.93) |
3.63 ↓
(3.75) |
3.55 ↑
(3.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Skanstes
49.7% | Draw
24.9% | JFK Ventspils
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skanstes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)JFK Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+3%)Skanstes - JFK Ventspils Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 29', 0 - 1, Veidemanis R. ⚽, Udrins A. (A),
- 36', 0 - 2, Liepajnieks V. ⚽,
- 45+2', 0 - 3, Veidemanis R. ⚽, Petrovs A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skanstes won 3.Skanstes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).JFK Ventspils's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Recently, Skanstes has had a series of away games. Skanstes will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Skanstes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Skanstes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Skanste | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 43:42 | 1 | 26 |
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| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21:41 | -20 | 15 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Latvian 1 Liga | | | 25.10.25 | Skanstes - JFK Ventspils | 0:0 | | 28.06.25 | JFK Ventspils - Skanstes | 2:2 | | 19.10.24 | JFK Ventspils - Skanstes | 1:2 | | 29.06.24 | Skanstes - JFK Ventspils | 3:0 | | 12.11.23 | JFK Ventspils - Skanstes | 0:1 | | 30.07.23 | Skanstes - JFK Ventspils | 2:1 |
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