Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka)

Referee: Grado C. S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAXtv To Go
Slovakia	Kanal A
Slovenia	SportKlub 3


	Rijeka		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.85	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.89	3.54	4.22
	1.87	3.61	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.3
	1.9	3.66	4.23	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	3.49 ↑ (3.45)	4.01 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
50%

Draw
26.7%

Olimpija Ljubljana
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

28.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	8.3%	4.2%

Rijeka - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions

Users Predictions: Rijeka will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zlomislic M. (G) 30. Bogojevic B. 45. Majstorovic A. 5. Galesic N. (C) 34. Devetak M. 8. Petrovic D. 87. Pasalic M. 25. Hodza V. 10. Fruk T. 4. Jankovic N. 11. Ivanovic F.	69. Vidovsek M. (G) 2. Silva J. 14. Ratnik M. (C) 17. Muhamedbegovic A. 3. Sualehe D. 34. Doffo A. 6. Agba P. 30. Florucz R. 23. Pinto D. 20. Motika N. 37. Schwaizer P. L.
Substitutes
9. Andric K. 12. Banda E. 24. Burcul B. 27. Butic S. 32. Cabraja M. 7. Djouahra N. 21. Ilinkovic S. 1. Posavec J. (G) 6. Radeljic S. 41. Rukavina G. 18. Selahi L. 28. Smolcic I.	45. Acimovic M. 18. Brest M. 28. Caciel B. 19. Durdov I. 36. Fink G. (G) 8. Lasickas J. 4. Motika N. 21. Pedreno M. 22. Pintol D. (G) 15. Ristic M. 88. Thalisson
Coaches
Raic-Sudar D.	Sanchez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Jankovic N. (A),
35', Sualehe D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sualehe D. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
49', Pasalic M. 🟨,
55', Bogojevic B. ↓, Smolcic I. ↑,
68', Florucz R. ↓, Brest M. ↑,
68', Pinto D. ↓, Thalisson ↑,
70', Jankovic N. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
70', Hodza V. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
75', Galesic N. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Schwaizer P. L. (Pen),
78', Thalisson 🟨,
80', Schwaizer P. L. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
80', Motika N. ↓, Caciel B. ↑,
81', Pasalic M. ↓, Andric K. ↑,
83', Fruk T. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Rijeka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olimpija is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Rijeka is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Rijeka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
18.08.24	Rijeka - Istra 1961	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Elfsborg - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
11.08.24	Varaždin - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Rijeka - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
04.08.24	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTTW
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.08.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Sheriff Tiraspol - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.08.24	Domžale - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Sheriff Tiraspol	3:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.08.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Nafta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.10.21	Rijeka - Olimpija Ljubljana	6:1
25.01.20	Rijeka - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:2
22.06.13	Olimpija Ljubljana - Rijeka	0:4

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