Match Info

Date: 1 October 2020, Thursday


	Rio Ave		Milan

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.53	Watch
	6.75	3.9	1.55	Watch
	6.9	4.05	1.52
	5.8	4	1.52
	6.72	4.03	1.53
	6.5	3.75	1.47
	6.6	4.15	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.47 ↑ (4.25)	4 ↑ (3.54)	1.52 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
14.5%

Draw
23.5%

Milan
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

26.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

21%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Ave's form might have worsened.

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	2%	95.3%

Rio Ave - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (328 of 344 users predict this - 95.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 93.12% – 97.58%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Rio Ave is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Milan is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
27.09.20	Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Beşiktaş - Rio Ave	1:2 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
20.09.20	Tondela - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Borac Banja Luka - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.20	Rio Ave - Marítimo	0:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTWT
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
27.09.20	Crotone - Milan	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Milan - Bodø Glimt	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.20	Milan - Bologna	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Shamrock Rovers - Milan	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.09.20	Milan - Brescia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

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