Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Crotone		Milan

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.1	1.6	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.6
	5.3	4.1	1.61	Watch
	5.4	4	1.6
	5.72	4.26	1.63
	5.5	4	1.62	Watch
	5.8	4.25	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↓ (5.88)	4.12 ↓ (4.44)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
17.4%

Draw
23.3%

Milan
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

21.5%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	1.7%	91.4%

Crotone - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (106 of 116 users predict this - 91.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.27% – 96.49%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Crotone has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Milan has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (52%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Milan in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Milan have a series of home games.

In this match Milan is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie A
20.09.20	Genoa - Crotone	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
31.07.20	Trapani - Crotone	2:0 ✺
27.07.20	Crotone - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
17.07.20	Crotone - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
13.07.20	Crotone - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWTW
- AC Milan
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Milan - Bodø Glimt	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.20	Milan - Bologna	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Shamrock Rovers - Milan	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.09.20	Milan - Brescia	3:1 ✺
09.09.20	Milan - Vicenza Virtus	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
06.01.18	Milan - Crotone	1:0
20.08.17	Crotone - Milan	0:3
30.04.17	Crotone - Milan	1:1
04.12.16	Milan - Crotone	2:1
Coppa Italia
01.12.15	Milan - Crotone	3:1 ET

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