The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tondela 43.7%
Draw 29.8%
Rio Ave 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
28.4%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
28.8%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.2%
39.1%
8.7%
Tondela - Rio Ave Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 31.8% – 72.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Tondela (votes: 2 - 20%). Rio Ave (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
AH +0.25 - Rio Ave (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Rio Ave (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Tondela (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Rio Ave (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 44. Silva J. 4. Marques C. 20. Medina B. 2. Bebeto (C) 10. Hodge J. 32. Rodriguez J. 27. Conceicao R. 7. Pedro Maranhao 90. Aiko M. 23. Kimpioka B.
99. van der Gouw E. (G) 17. Vrousai M. (C) 32. Brabec J. 39. Gustavo Mancha 6. Abbey N. 44. Nikitscher T. 5. Ntoi A. 7. Diogo Bezerra 80. Pohlmann O. 18. Spikic D. 11. Blesa J.
Substitutes
5. Afonso J. 30. Canizares L. (G) 14. Huarte X. 48. Manso T. 70. Ouattara M. 29. Siebatcheu J. 15. Sithole S. 8. Tavares H. 26. van der Heide A.
24. Buta L. 21. Graca J. 54. Liavas G. 1. Miszta C. (G) 9. Monteiro T. 19. Papakanellos A. 23. Petrasso F. 8. Ryan Guilherme 20. Tome J.
Coaches
Bacci C.
Sylaidopoulos S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ntoi A. 🟨,
35', Vrousai M. 🟨,
45+3', Diogo Bezerra (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Ntoi A. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
62', Rodriguez J. ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Blesa J. ⚽, Spikic D. (A),
71', Spikic D. ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
71', Pohlmann O. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
74', Silva J. ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
74', Hodge J. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
80', Aiko M. ↓, Manso T. ↑,
80', Bebeto ↓, Ouattara M. ↑,
87', Abbey N. 🟨,
89', Abbey N. ↓, Buta L. ↑,
89', Blesa J. ↓, Petrasso F. ↑,
90+4', Diogo Bezerra 🟨,
90+5', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 1.
Recent performances by Tondela have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rio Ave has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Tondela might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
Miszta C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Tondela: Maviram E.
(Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
Rony Lopes
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Croatia
Greece
Portugal
Slovenia
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Bernardo (G) 
Silva J. 
Medina B. 
Hodge J. 
Rodriguez J. 
Aiko M. 
Kimpioka B. 
van der Gouw E. (G) 
Vrousai M. (C) 
Brabec J. 
Abbey N. 
Nikitscher T. 
Pohlmann O. 
Spikic D. 
Blesa J. 
Ouattara M. 
Siebatcheu J. 
Sithole S. 
Tavares H. 
Miszta C. (G) 
Monteiro T. 
Petrasso F. 
Bacci C. 
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