The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milan 59.1%
Draw 23.4%
Bologna 17.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.9%
23.2%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
22.6%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Milan - Bologna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.
Milan is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Bologna have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Milan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Milan carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Milan has recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:16 (averaging 2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Milan against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 22:7 goals (averaging 2:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
AC Milan
7
4
3
0
14:7
7
15
15
Bologna
7
1
2
4
6:10
-4
5
Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
AC Milan: 6.96% Bologna: 0.25%
Last Results with these Odds
Milan - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.91%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.