Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Rio Ave (Vila do Conde)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Rio Ave		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2	3.2	3.9
	1.98	3.05	4
	2.03	3.2	3.8
	2.08	3.18	4.27
	2.05	3.2	3.8
	2.01	3.38	3.74	Watch
	2.06	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.9)	3.21 ↓ (3.39)	3.89 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
46.5%

Draw
29.3%

Paços de Ferreira
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	7%	7%

Rio Ave - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: Rio Ave will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Rio Ave has the most likely position - 7 (10.67%), has project points - 44, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (78.04%), has project points - 20, has currently - 3, has a good chance of relegated (94%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 42, small importance 16, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 0.

Recent matches Rio Ave is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paços de Ferreira is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Rio Ave is a favorite.

There will not play in Rio Ave: Joca (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Ibrahim A. (Injury)

Last 23 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 5 matches, drawn 13 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Ave won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
07.01.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave	0:0 ✺
23.12.22	Rio Ave - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
13.12.22	Rio Ave - Farense	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
01.12.22	Marítimo - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWLW
- Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal
08.01.23	Paços de Ferreira - Chaves	1:1 ✺
29.12.22	Sporting Lisbon - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Braga - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Trofense - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Paços de Ferreira - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
25.04.21	Rio Ave - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
03.01.21	Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave	2:0
07.06.20	Rio Ave - Paços de Ferreira	2:3
25.10.19	Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
28.12.18	Rio Ave - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
Liga Portugal
07.05.18	Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave	0:0
03.01.18	Rio Ave - Paços de Ferreira	4:2

Upcoming Matches