Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 4

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio do Rio Ave (Vila do Conde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2
Austria	Laola1
Brazil	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Ecuador	DAZN, DSports 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Mexico	Claro Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 2


	Rio Ave		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	8	5.5	1.3	Watch
	8.25	5.00	1.34
	8.8	4.55	1.34	Watch
	9	5.43	1.35
	9.06	5.51	1.32	Watch
	8.85	5.55	1.32
	9.33	5.82	1.33	Watch
	8.2	5.4	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.69 ↑ (8.35)	5.35 ↓ (5.66)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
10.9%

Draw
17.7%

Sporting Lisbon
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

16.7%

72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

15.9%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Rio Ave (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Sporting (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sporting (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. van der Gouw E. (G) 54. Liavas G. 23. Petrasso F. 39. Gustavo Mancha 17. Vrousai M. (C) 44. Nikitscher T. 5. Ntoi A. 7. Diogo Bezerra 11. Blesa J. 77. Spikic D. 9. Tamble	1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 6. Debast Z. 25. Inacio G. (C) 20. Araujo M. 5. Altimira S. 77. Doumbia I. 10. Catamo G. 17. Zalazar R. 58. Goncalves F. 97. Suarez L.
Substitutes
67. Alves S. 24. Amaral P. 14. Brabec J. 60. Caike 22. Chamorro K. (G) 30. Galcik R. 27. Medina T. 79. Patricio M. 25. Rafael Lobato 19. Sellouki M. 20. Tome J. 70. Wenck A.	4. Andersen S. 55. Ba I. 28. Derry J. 50. Dias R. 41. Diego Callai (G) 7. Ioannidis F. 19. Irankunda N. 31. Luis Guilherme 9. Nel R. 21. Pedro Lima 72. Quaresma E. 13. Vagiannidis G.
Coaches
Sylaidopoulos S.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
5', 0 - 1, Goncalves F. ⚽, Doumbia I. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Catamo G. ⚽, Goncalves F. (A),
26', 0 - 3, Suarez L. ⚽,
37', 0 - 4, Suarez L. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Suarez L. 🟨,
60', Nikitscher T. 🟨,
65', Catamo G. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
65', Goncalves F. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
65', Doumbia I. ↓, Andersen S. ↑,
66', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
75', Spikic D. ↓, Galcik R. ↑,
75', Nikitscher T. ↓, Wenck A. ↑,
81', Zalazar R. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
86', Blesa J. ↓, Caike ↑,
86', Suarez L. ↓, Derry J. ↑,
86', Vrousai M. ↓, Patricio M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 0.

Recent performances by Rio Ave have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sporting is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B. (Knee Injury) Miszta C. (Back Injury) Ryan Guilherme (Injury) Tome J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Santos N. (Muscle Injury) Simoes J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Braganca D. (Inactive) Pote (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:49. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.8:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
22.08.26	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Rio Ave - Porto	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Rio Ave - Tondela	3:1 ✺
15.07.26	Portimonense - Rio Ave	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWW
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
22.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Alverca	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nottingham Forest	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Monaco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
11.05.26	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	1:4
28.12.25	Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave	4:0
Taça de Portugal
22.04.25	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	1:2
03.04.25	Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave	2:0
Liga Portugal
18.01.25	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
09.08.24	Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave	3:1
25.02.24	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	3:3

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